Harrogate district covid rate now almost a quarter of national average

Another 30 people in the Harrogate district have tested positive for coronavirus, according to today’s official statistics.

It means the seven-day average rate of infection for the district is now 97 people per 100,000 — almost four times lower than the national average of 364.

The district’s rate has been gradually increasing for the last couple of weeks but at nowhere near the speed of southern England, where the new mutant strain of covid has been most predominant.

The district’s rate remains the lowest of the seven local authority areas in North Yorkshire. Scarborough is the highest at 234. The overall rate for North Yorkshire is 151.

Today’s figures, from Public Health England, bring the total number of infections in the district since the start of the pandemic to 4,127.

There have not been any covid hospital deaths in the district since December 10.

The district’s R number, which refers to the rate at which the virus spreads in the community, remains at 0.9. This means every 10 people with coronavirus will pass it on to nine others.

Starbeck is the worst affected local area, with 18 positive cases in the last seven days — one more than the figure for Ouseburn, Hammerton and Tockwith.

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32 more coronavirus cases in Harrogate district today

A further 32 cases of coronavirus have been confirmed today as the Harrogate district heads into Christmas.

It takes the total number of cases since the start of the pandemic to 4,090.

The district still has the lowest seven-day average rate of infection in North Yorkshire, with 86 infections per 100,000 people.

The seven-day average for North Yorkshire is 142. It is 353 for England.

The R number, which refers to the rate at which the virus spreads in the community, has risen to 0.9 in the Harrogate district.

This means every 10 people infected will pass on the virus to nine people.

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North Yorkshire is in tier two, which means three households will be able to mix on December 25 only.

NHS bosses have said the Harrogate Nightingale hospital remains on standby amid fears over the spread of a new mutant strain of coronavirus.

Scarborough could drag Harrogate district into tier three

There are fears the Harrogate district could be dragged into a higher tier of coronavirus restrictions amid rising infections elsewhere in the county.

Scarborough is a particular concern as the seven-day average rate of infection has shot up to 254 per 100,000 people from about 150 a week ago.

The area also has the highest positive rates in the whole of the north east of England.

The Harrogate district has 86 infections per 100,000 people. It has remained at about the 90 mark for a few weeks now.

North Yorkshire is currently in tier two. But the possibility of dividing the county into different tiers was raised at a coronavirus press briefing this morning.

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Richard Webb, the corporate director of health and adult services at North Yorkshire County Council, said:

“There has been a dramatic increase of cases in Scarborough. Particularly scary as the increases are among children and those in their 30s.

“People are mixing indoors there. They put themselves and the whole area at risk.”

Asked about the next tier review on December 30, Mr Webb said “up until now” local health leaders had not expected any change to the county’s tier two status.

But he added cases were rising in parts of the county and the door remained open to splitting North Yorkshire into different tiers.

The government highlighted Scarborough as “the most concerning area” in North Yorkshire when it reviewed the tiers last week. Case rates have almost doubled since then.

Back then the government review concluded the “trajectory [did] not warrant tier three” but last weekend’s events highlighted how quickly things can change.

Local health leaders told the forum no confirmed cases of the new coronavirus strain had been recorded in the county but nevertheless they acknowledged it could already be here.

Just 11 coronavirus cases in Harrogate district

The Harrogate district has recorded just 11 more coronavirus cases in the daily figures today.

It is one of the lowest daily increases since the second wave of the pandemic but remains above the cases reported in tier one areas.

So far, the Public Health England figures for the district total 3,939 since early March.

Harrogate District Hospital has not reported any further coronavirus deaths since December 12. On that day the hospital reached 106 deaths.

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The seven-day average rate of cases for the district is at 93 per 100,000. For North Yorkshire, the number is 116. Scarborough has the highest rates in the county at 214.

The Harrogate district learned this week that it will remain in tier two after the first government review of the national tier rules.

Tier rules are based on factors such as infection rates, particularly in the over 60s, and pressure on hospitals.

Case rates in the Harrogate district remain more than double those in tier one areas.

Infection rates in Harrogate district ‘too high for tier one’

Local health and police leaders have acknowledged there will be disappointment in the Harrogate district at the news that it will stay in tier two.

Infection rates across North Yorkshire fell rapidly from mid-November but have plateaued lately at a rate that is still five times higher than it was in the summer.

After announcing the tier decisions this morning, the government released a written explanation on how it reached its verdict for North Yorkshire, which describes the outlook in the county as ‘improving’.

Besides the county’s overall infection rate, other key factors in determining the tier level include infection rates in people aged over 60, which are described as ‘stable or decreasing’.

Another factor is hospital coronavirus admissions, which are decreasing steadily. The government explanation said:

“The epidemiology indicators are too high for allocation to tier one but the trajectory does currently not warrant inclusion in tier three.”

The explanation highlights Scarborough as the most concerning area of North Yorkshire because infection rates are above 150 people per 100,000.

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Richard Flinton, chair of the North Yorkshire Local Resilience Forum, which is a partnership of organisations tackling emergencies in the county, said:

“We know there will be some disappointment in areas where rates are lower, that we remain in tier two as a whole county.

“But we can see that rates of reduction have flattened out and in some areas have risen again and our priority has to be about keeping our people safe.

“If we have to stay in tier two to achieve it then we must work to the government’s tiering plan.”

Christmas bubbles

Amanda Bloor, the accountable officer for North Yorkshire Clinical Commissioning Group, which buys health services for the county, added:

“Colleagues across the NHS continue to do a phenomenal job to provide health services for the people of North Yorkshire and York.

“Even though there will be a brief and specific relaxation of government guidance over the holiday period we are urging people to make sensible choices.

“Your choices now will help protect NHS services for those who need them most this winter.”

Chief inspector Charlotte Bloxham, silver lead for North Yorkshire Police’s covid response asked people to “carefully consider their own situation” and “make an informed decision based on their own personal circumstances” regarding Christmas arrangements. She added:

“If you have vulnerable people in your family, please consider carefully whether forming a Christmas bubble with them is the right thing to do.

“There will be no exemption period in place for New Year’s Eve celebrations, so it may be an idea to plan now for a quiet end to 2020.”

Just 11 new covid infections – but R number rises again

Just 11 new covid infections were reported today in the Harrogate district by Public Health England.

The figure is the joint second lowest daily amount since the start of the second wave of the pandemic.

However, yesterday’s figure of 36 was the highest since November 23.

Although the daily statistics have varied considerably recently, the trend in the Harrogate district is definitely upwards.

The R number, which was just 0.4 last weekend, went up again today to 0.7. This means every 10 people infected will pass the virus on to another seven.

The district’s seven-day average rate of infection to December 14 is 93 people per 100,000. This compares with 116 and 235 in North Yorkshire and England.

North Yorkshire remained in tier two today in the government’s first review of the tier system since the second lockdown.

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Harrogate district remains in tier two

The Harrogate district will remain in tier two after the first government review of the national tier rules.

Health Secretary Matt Hancock made the announcement in the House of Commons this morning.

But there was disappointment for West Yorkshire, including Leeds, which was hoping to move down from tier three to tier two.

This could have implications for local pubs and restaurants, as well as policing, which have had to deal with people flouting the rules and travelling to North Yorkshire for a night out.

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Tier rules are based on factors such as infection rates, particularly in the over 60s, and pressure on hospitals.

Case rates in the Harrogate district remain more than double those in tier one areas.

The Harrogate district currently has a rate of 84 infections per 100,000 people compared to 25.9 per 100,000 in Cornwall and the Isles of Scilly, which is in tier one.

What are the rules in tier two?

Tier two:

What about Christmas?

Coronavirus restrictions will be eased in England between December 23 and December 27.

Three households will be able to form a temporary bubble. It must be fixed but there will be no limit on numbers joining bubble.

Those who are self-isolating should not join one of these so-called Christmas bubbles.

If someone is in an at-risk group the government has said they must use their own judgement and consider the risks of mixing over Christmas.

North Yorkshire schools told to not close early for Christmas

Schools in North Yorkshire have been told to not close early for Christmas, despite fears over the potential spread of coronavirus.

Two schools approached North Yorkshire County Council requesting early closure but their bids were rejected.

Most schools in the county will close on Friday, although 45 will finish a day earlier so they can hold a teacher training day.

Amanda Newbold, assistant director for education and skills at NYCC, said at a coronavirus press briefing today:

“We had two schools discussing whether they would close prior to this date. We have discouraged them from doing so.

“They should only close because of close contacts and isolation reasons so we are really pleased that the majority are staying open.”

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School attendance in the county is currently at about 89%. This figure has remained consistent over the last couple of weeks.

The briefing also revealed 19 schools are partially closed to year groups or bubbles.

It also emerged there are 184 patients in hospitals in North Yorkshire, with 22 of them in Harrogate.

While the county-wide bed numbers are 17 lower than this time last week, there was an increase of 10 patients yesterday.

The Harrogate district recorded a further 36 coronavirus cases today, the highest figure since November 23 when there were 37 cases.

Twelve further coronavirus cases confirmed in Harrogate district

A further 12 coronavirus cases have been confirmed in the Harrogate District in the last 24 hours, according to Public Health England.

It takes the total number of cases up to 3,863.

Meanwhile, the district’s seven-day average, which is the rate up to December 10, stands at 78 per 100,000 people.

It represents a further drop in the rate recently and puts the district third lowest in the county.

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The R number rose from 0.4 to 0.5 over the weekend after falling consistently since early November.

It means every 10 people infected pass on covid to five others, which means the virus is still diminishing in the district but at a slower rate.

While North Yorkshire’s cases have remained low, it seems likely that the county will remain in tier two.

Last week, local public health bosses said they hoped the county would be downgraded after Christmas.

Just 21 new coronavirus cases in Harrogate district

A further 21 coronavirus cases were confirmed in the Harrogate District in the last 24 hours, according to Public Health England figures.

It takes the total amount of cases since the start of the pandemic up to 3,782.

Meanwhile, the district’s seven-day average, which is the rate up to December 6, increased to 95 per 100,000 people.

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The county-wide rate stands at 104, below the national average of 154.

It comes as seven sites across North Yorkshire are set to offer the coronavirus vaccine next week.

North Yorkshire CCG, which buys medical services for the county, will provide further details when they are finalised.