The Liberal Democrats have selected NHS worker Matt Walker as their candidate for the forthcoming Selby and Ainsty by-election.
Mr Walker was brought up in Knaresborough, just outside the Selby and Ainsty constituency boundary, and currently represents the Knaresborough West division on North Yorkshire Council.
He previously campaigned to be the Lib Dems’ candidate for the Harrogate and Knaresborough constituency at the next General Election, but Tom Gordon was selected instead.
A manager in the National Health Service who has raised funds for charities in Harrogate, Mr Walker said he will be putting the NHS at the top of his concerns during the by-election.
He said:
“As a candidate I will be a passionate campaigner for the area, listening to residents’ views and championing their issues.
“Residents across Selby and Ainsty have been let down, our NHS is on its knees. In my professional life I am a manager in the NHS, and in one of my previous roles I spent time managing the GP out-of-hours and minor injuries unit at Selby Memorial Hospital. I’ve seen first hand just how amazing our NHS is and just how much damage the Conservatives have done to it.
“The Liberal Democrats will be fighting for every vote at this election. Whether it’s the crisis in our NHS or the cost of living, the government has taken North Yorkshire for granted for too long and it’s time for a change.”
The Lib Dems polled just 4.5% of the vote in the 2019 election, which Nigel Adams won with a majority of 20,137 for the Conservatives.
Mr Adams’ decision to resign triggered the by-election, which will be held on Thursday, July 20.
The other candidates declared so far are: for the Green Party, Arnold Warneken, the councillor for Ouseburn on North Yorkshire Council; for the Labour Party, Keir Mather, a senior public affairs adviser for the Confederation of British Industry (CBI); for the Conservative Party, barrister and East Riding of Yorkshire councillor Claire Holmes; for the pro-Brexit Reform Party, David Kent; and for the Yorkshire Party, Mike Jordan, whose defection from the Conservatives earlier this month lost the party its majority on North Yorkshire Council.
Tyler Callum Wilson-Kerr, a councillor for Aberford & District Parish Council and former Yorkshire Party member, has also confirmed he will stand as an independent. The youngest candidate in the field, he will be campaigning on a platform of devolution, sustainable energy, tenants’ rights, social housing, and the abolition of tuition fees.
Although Selby and Ainsty is centred on Selby and reaches almost as far south as Pontefract, its northern portion includes Spofforth and many of the villages in the Vale of York, such as Great Ouseburn, Green Hammerton and Tockwith.
Photo ID required to vote
In a statement, North Yorkshire Council said anyone interested in becoming a candidate in the Selby and Ainsty by-election must submit a completed set of nomination forms before the deadline at 4pm this Friday (June 23).
Residents of the Selby and Ainsty constituency have until midnight on Tuesday, July 4, to register to vote and until 5pm on Wednesday, July 5, to apply for a postal vote. If someone is unable to vote in person or by post, they have until 5pm on Wednesday, July 12, to apply for a proxy vote.
Voters attending the polling station for the by-election will need to bring photographic identification, such as a UK photocard driving licence, a passport, or concessionary travel passes, such as an older person’s bus pass or blue badge.
Anyone without an accepted form of ID should apply for a free voter authority certificate by 5pm on Wednesday, July 12.
Read more:
- Tories select replacement candidate for Selby and Ainsty by-election
- Labour names candidate for local by-election
- Selby and Ainsty MP resigns with immediate effect
Lib Dem leader describes £11.2m Harrogate Station Gateway as ‘vanity project’
The £11.2 million Harrogate Station Gateway has been branded a “piecemeal vanity project” by the chair of the committee that voted to approve it.
The Harrogate and Knaresborough area constituency committee, which advises North Yorkshire Council, backed the scheme by 10 votes to three at a meeting on Friday.
The decision paves the way for North Yorkshire Council’s ruling Conservative executive to give the project the go-ahead on May 30.
It means Station Parade will be reduced to one lane of traffic so a bus lane and cycle route can be built and James Street partly pedestrianised.
Committee chair Pat Marsh was one of three Lib Dems to oppose the gateway but support by five of her colleagues and five Conservatives enabled it to go through despite vociferous public opposition.
In a press release issued last night, Cllr Pat Marsh — who is leader of the Harrogate and Knaresborough Lib Dems — called for businesses and residents to be consulted as the scheme progressed. She said:
“Of particular concern was the level of poor consultation and lack of any business impact assessment for the project. The council needs to acknowledge their mistakes and learn from them.
“Many residents and businesses put forward positive suggestions for improving the scheme. There is little evidence that any of this was listened to and actioned.”
Read more:
- £11.2m Station Gateway set to go ahead after crucial Harrogate area vote
- Publican says cycle path crackdown in Harrogate is ‘unreasonable’
Cllr Marsh, who represents Stray, Woodlands and Hookstone, added:
“The lack of long-term investment in the town centre and any meaningful strategic active travel plan for the Harrogate and Knaresborough constituency means that projects like the gateway are seen as isolated piecemeal vanity projects by the council’s administration rather than a solution that links improvements in traffic flow throughout the town, leading to significant carbon emission reductions.”
“There is nothing in this scheme that will reduce traffic volumes in the town centre to any meaningful degree.”
Cllr Marsh claimed North Yorkshire Council’s “unwillingness” to consider a Harrogate park and ride scheme “further highlights the lack of strategic thinking”.
She also claimed recent failures to secure levelling-up and active travel funding from the UK government “questioned the ability of North Yorkshire Council to deliver this project on time and to budget”.
Friday’s meeting saw councillors agree to support the gateway on condition that further engagement with local businesses and residents took place.
The committee also requested an active role in the project as it progresses.
Liberal Democrats back creation of Harrogate town councilLiberal Democrats have come out in favour of the creation of a Harrogate town council.
A second consultation on whether to set-up a town council runs until May 5.
North Yorkshire County Council said in March the move would require 35,000 households to pay an additional council tax charge of between £40 and £60.
But local Liberal Democrats said today a town council would enable locally-elected councillors to take control of assets such as off-street car parks, the Stray, Royal Hall, Sun Pavilion and Valley Gardens.
Harrogate and Scarborough are the only parts of the county not to have a parish or town council.
Eight Liberal Democrats, including former Harrogate borough councillors and current North Yorkshire councillors, signed in support of a town council.
Cllr Pat Marsh, chair of North Yorkshire Council‘s area constituency committee for Harrogate and Knaresborough, said her party supported devolving power. She added:
“Without a new town council, Harrogate would be at a real disadvantage when bidding for services to remain local.
“Harrogate residents need to have a voice when it comes to the future of local assets, just as those in Knaresborough, Ripon, Pateley Bridge, Boroughbridge and many other villages in North Yorkshire have.”

Pat Marsh
Cllr Marsh said “unique decisions relating to Harrogate should be being made in Harrogate by people who have received the endorsement of Harrogate residents” rather than councillors in places such as Catterick, Ryedale and Scarborough.
She added:
“Assets that could be considered for control by the town council include off-street car parks, the Stray, Royal Hall, Sun Pavilion, Valley Gardens and the other green and floral spaces within the town.
“Without local protection, these assets are always in danger of being cut by North Yorkshire councillors not from Harrogate.
“A Harrogate town council would also provide a formal representative voice for local residents on planning applications and other consultations.
“Harrogate is a very special place and decisions about our town need to be made by local people who know, love and understand this town.”
Read more:
- Second consultation to be held on whether to form Harrogate town council
- Just 3.5% responded to Harrogate town council consultation
A total of 75% favoured setting up a Harrogate town council in last year’s first consultation but only 1,250 homes — 3.5% of those affected — responded. The low response rate triggered concerns about the validity of the response.
The statement urges residents and businesses to respond to the second consultation before the May 5 deadline.
The Lib Dem councillors who signed today’s statement are:
Pat Marsh — Stray, Woodlands and Hookstone.
Philip Broadbank — Fairfax and Starbeck.
Chris Aldred — High Harrogate and Kingsley
Peter Lacey — Coppice Valley and Duchy
Mike Schofield — Harlow and St Georges
Monika Slater — Bilton Grange and New Park
Honorary alderman Trevor Chapman
Honorary alderman Matthew Webber
Harrogate levelling up bid comparisons ‘unhelpful’, says councillor
A Harrogate Conservative councillor has described as “unhelpful” comparisons between Harrogate’s failed levelling up bid and a successful bid for a village in Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s constituency.
The comments came as both the Liberal Democrats and Conservatives on Harrogate Borough Council made a rare joint plea to the new North Yorkshire Council to press ahead with a redevelopment of the town’s convention centre.
During a full council meeting this week, Cllr Chris Aldred, a Lib Dem, said the backing was needed after failed funding bids to the government’s levelling up fund in January.
He added that, while Harrogate was rejected for funding, a successful bid was made in Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s Richmond constituency.
Cllr Aldred said:
“Whilst government money was obtained to deliver a new Catterick town centre – I wonder whose constituency that is? – Harrogate lost out once more.”
Read more:
- New council chief questions future of Harrogate Convention Centre
- New board to review Harrogate Convention Centre operating model
- Government rejects £20m levelling up bid for Harrogate Convention Centre
However, Cllr Sam Gibbs, who works as a party agent for the Richmond Conservatives, said comparison between bids was “not helpful”.
He added that the area of Catterick was deprived and the success of the bid had nothing to do with Mr Sunak.
Cllr Gibbs said:
“I don’t think comparisons with other bids is helpful.
“Saying that we’re more deserving than X or Y is largely pointless.”
He added:
“Focussing on Catterick for a start, there is no such thing as Catterick town centre.
“Yes it is in Richmond and I know what you were getting at with it being Rishi’s constituency, but I’m sure you know that the bid was put in by the Liberal Democrat and Independent-run council and has nothing particularly to do with Rishi.
“If you have ever been around what you call Catterick town centre, it is hard to argue that the money is not needed. It is one of the most deprived parts of North Yorkshire, the money is very, very much needed.”
A rare joint plea
Both the Conservatives and Lib Dems agreed to call on the new unitary council to back a £49 million renovation of the centre.
The council has previously warned that if the convention centre redevelopment doesn’t go ahead, the district could lose out on up to £250 million over the next 40 years in lost tourism and business spending.
A motion passed by the council asked that the new council “moves forward with urgency” in setting up a management board for the Harrogate Borough Council.
The project has moved to the design phase but where the money will come from to pay for it remains uncertain. North Yorkshire Council will make a final decision at a later date.
‘Shocking’ lack of NHS dentists in Harrogate and Knaresborough raised in ParliamentA Liberal Democrat MP has raised concerns in Parliament about the “shocking” lack of NHS dentists in Harrogate and Knaresborough.
Daisy Cooper, MP for St Albans and the party’s health spokesperson, was taking part in a House of Commons debate yesterday on expanding the NHS workforce when she raised concerns about dentistry.
She said only half of children in North Yorkshire managed to see an NHS dentist last year, adding:
“In Harrogate if you are lucky enough to find an NHS dentist taking on any new patients you face a two-and-a-half year wait to see them. This is a shocking state of affairs.”
Ms Cooper called on a minister to visit the area to speak to patients and dentists to see the situation for themselves.
The issue has long been a cause for concern in Harrogate and Knaresborough. A Stray Ferret investigation carried out in March 2021 found that just two NHS dentists in the Harrogate district were accepting new patients – one in Knaresborough with a waiting time of two-and-a-half years, and one in Boroughbridge with a waiting time of three years.
Two years later, the NHS website currently lists just two practices in the district as accepting new patients, but only those under the age of 17 – one in Ripon and one in Boroughbridge. None are listed for Harrogate.
Tom Gordon, spokesperson and parliamentary candidate for the Liberal Democrats in Harrogate and Knaresborough, said:
“Patients in Harrogate and Knaresborough are facing an access crisis. Only yesterday I spoke with a family who moved to the area more than 18 months ago, they have been unable to find an NHS dentist and are now paying for private care. This is all too common; families are faced with a bill for private treatment or unacceptable waits to be seen by an NHS dentist.
“As a former health services researcher, I know how important it is that we get to grips with the dental crisis, and the impact that poor dental outcomes have on wider health & well-being.
“I am grateful to the Liberal Democrat MP Daisy Copper for raising this in Parliament and putting more pressure on ministers to act to fix this access crisis.”
The Conservative MP for Harrogate and Knaresborough, Andrew Jones, was approached for comment by the Stray Ferret, but no response has yet been received.
Read more:
- Lack of NHS dentists ‘severely affecting’ North Yorkshire residents’ health
- Watchdog report: Just one NHS dentist per 10,000 people in Harrogate district
- Harrogate district patients feeling ‘catastrophic impact’ of dental crisis
- Investigation: ‘Shocking’ waits for NHS dentists in Harrogate district
The Lib Dem aiming to become Harrogate and Knaresborough’s next MP
After a process lasting eight months, the Liberal Democrats have finally named Tom Gordon as their candidate to wrestle Harrogate and Knaresborough off the Conservatives at the next general election.
Mr Gordon, who turns 29 today, is less than half the age of Andrew Jones, the current MP, but has already packed a lot into his short political career. He has stood twice for Parliament, led the Liberal Democrats on Wakefield Council and supported Judith Rogerson in her campaign to unseat Mr Jones at the last election in 2019.
But does he have the experience and nous to defeat a seasoned politician like Mr Jones, who will be going for his fifth success in a row? Mr Jones has achieved more than 50% of the vote at the last three elections, turning a constituency held by Liberal Democrat Phil Willis from 1997 to 2010 back into a safe Conservative seat.
With Paul Ko Ferrigno named as the Green Party candidate, and Labour yet to declare, there is the possibility of all the main parties selecting white men. Mr Gordon’s youth gives him some point of difference, which he acknowledges could be advantageous but he says the main reason people should vote for him is because he would stand for “fairness and equality” while Mr Jones, he claims, is a party stooge with a “record of shame”.
But what kind of candidate are local people getting — and how well does he know Harrogate and Knaresborough?
Mr Gordon, who is from Knottingley in West Yorkshire and is the Lib Dem leader on Wakefield Council, was chosen by party members ahead of Knaresborough campaigner Matt Walker.
Mr Jones was quick to express surprise, telling the Harrogate Advertiser (he does not speak to the Stray Ferret) he felt Mr Walker’s local roots made him a “shoo-in”.
Mr Gordon, who is moving to a flat in Harrogate next month, says it was a “lazy attack line” and points out Mr Jones is also originally from West Yorkshire having been born in Ilkley and educated in Bradford and Leeds.
Mr Gordon is keen to highlight his familiarity with Harrogate and Knaresborough, having helped Ms Rogerson in 2019, and at pains to explain he is only from “20 miles down the M1”. But he did not answer when asked to name the manager of Harrogate Town, although he talked enthusiastically about Knaresborough Bed Race.
From disengaged student to Lib Dem activist
His introduction to politics began by chance as a student in 2014 when he was on a train to London and got talking to the woman opposite, who happened to be the Lib Dem peer Baroness Harris of Richmond.
“She gave me her business card and said ‘if there is anything I can ever do, just get in touch’. At that point it’s fair to say I was slightly disengaged with politics.”
He dropped her a line and ended up becoming a parliamentary intern at the House of Lords aged 20.
But his mother’s diagnosis with breast cancer, the day before he started a masters degree in 2016, was the key moment.
“My mum is a single parent and my little sister was five. I dropped down to part-time study to go home and help.
“Mum arranged to have chemo on Friday nights so she could be ill over the weekend because she couldn’t afford to live off statutory sick pay.
“Seeing mum work a minimum wage job, trying to cover the mortgage and bills, and trying to deal with fighting cancer was an eye-opener. When people have to schedule their chemo around work, that’s not the country I want to live in.”

Mr Gordon in Knaresborough
He says Labour politicians, utterly dominant in his area, had taken local people for granted, safe in the knowledge of re-election. By contrast he says the Lib Dems empower people by giving them the tools to build a better future.
He joined the party in 2017 and stood in Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford at the 2019 general election, finishing fourth behind Labour big beast Yvette Cooper with 6.5% of the vote. The Lib Dems polled 5.1% at the previous election. In 2021 he polled 3.3% in the Batley and Spen by-election to finish fourth behind Labour. George Galloway was third.
Harrogate and Knaresborough is his first serious chance of victory. The Lib Dems increased their share by 12% in 2019 to almost halve Mr Jones’s majority. Mr Gordon says it “was one of the few success stories we had on the night” and “put us in a place where we can think about winning” at the next election, which is likely to be next year.
Why does he think Mr Jones has been so successful?
“We are not under any illusion that as an area there are a lot of demographics in favour of the Conservative Party. But what we do know is there is a route to winning here. We have held the seat before under Phil Willis and feel we can do again.”
Read more:
- Lib Dems confirm Harrogate and Knaresborough candidate for next election
- Liberal Democrats win Masham and Fountains by-election
Mr Gordon cites NHS funding, apprenticeships and championing small- and medium-sized businesses as priorities. Brexit, he says, has “eaten up the oxygen in the room” and won’t feature prominently in campaigning.
But what about local issues — does he think nearly £50 million should be spent refurbishing Harrogate Convention Centre?
He says the long-term future of the convention centre needs to be secured but is less sure about the £11.2 million Harrogate Station Gateway scheme that has divided the town:
“There are strong views for and against it. I haven’t made up my mind yet.”
Pavement politics
Mr Gordon says his political heroes are mainly Americans, particularly Hillary Clinton, but also singles out former Lib Dem leader Tim Farron, explaining:
“Pavement politics and grassroots activism upwards is the best of the Lib Dems and Tim epitomises that.”
It’s a style he intends to copy:
“People should expect to see someone who will be on their doorsteps, who will be at community events and leading from the front and championing Harrogate and Knaresborough and demanding better than what we’ve got from the Tories. I am energetic and dynamic and very happy to roll up my sleeves and get stuck in.”
Mr Gordon’s varied professional career includes spells as an estate agent and in recruitment. He’s currently a part-time policy and external affairs officer for the Carers Trust charity and the office manager for Helen Morgan, the Lib Dem MP for North Shropshire — a role he will soon relinquish.
He also plans to stand down as a Wakefield councillor in May, having been elected at the age of 25.
Away from work, he has run several marathons for charity and enjoys swimming and badminton. He has a degree in biochemistry and a masters in public health.
He has certainly not been idle in his 20s. He says:
“I’m an ambitious person. I’m very driven. If I set my mind to something, I tend to achieve it.”
As for Mr Jones, the politicking has begun.
“I met him once briefly in passing at a media event. One of the things local people have said is that Andrew does like to turn up to have his photo taken where possible. They don’t tend to say much else.”
If elected, what difference would it make to local people?
“The key point will be that I’m not going to endlessly trudge through the lobbies as the government says, I’m going to be a strong voice for what local people want.
“He has a record of shame quite frankly, whether it be voting to let water companies get away with discharging sewage into rivers or voting for all sorts of horrendous policies this government has concocted over the last few years — he’s got one of the highest records of following that government whip.
“I will put the people of Harrogate and Knaresborough first — not the Tory Party.”
The first shots have been fired as the election countdown draws near.
Harrogate and Knaresborough MP denies voting in favour of frackingHarrogate and Knaresborough MP Andrew Jones has denied voting in favour of fracking in the House of Commons last week.
An opposition Labour motion was put to the house which would have forced a vote on a bill to ban the controversial practice in the UK.
Mr Jones voted with the government on the night against the motion.
In his latest ‘Fact Check Friday’ video on Instagram, Mr Jones denied he voted in favour of fracking.
He said:
“Contrary to what some people would have you believe, I didn’t vote in favour of fracking during the debate in parliament this week.
“In fact, the vote wasn’t even directly about fracking at all. The vote was about changing the scheduled timetable of parliamentary business to allow the Labour Party to bring in a bill about fracking.
“A bill that hasn’t even been published.”
Read more:
- Andrew Jones MP launches ‘non-political’ fact-checking service
- Harrogate district MPs back government amid chaotic fracking vote
The government won by 319 votes to 228 – however the night descended into chaos amid allegations Tory MPs were “bullied and manhandled” into supporting former Prime Minister Liz Truss.
Mr Jones goes on to say in the video he is “relaxed” about the government’s position on fracking as there is “little possibility of any successful applications to frack”.
He adds that he has “always been skeptical about fracking” and that the UK’s future energy should be in renewables.
The video, which Mr Jones says includes “no politics”, goes onto show a clip of the then Liberal Democrat energy secretary, Sir Ed Davey, saying that the government had to find a “commercially viable way” to get shale gas out of the ground.
The clip then cuts to an image of Mr Jones and the hashtag ‘awks’, suggesting it reveals an awkward truth for the Lib Dems.
Harrogate opposition parties cool on pact as election manoeuvres beginLiz Truss may have only just entered Downing Street but opposition parties in Harrogate and Knaresborough have begun manoeuvrings for the next general election.
This week the Green Party became the first to name its prospective parliamentary candidate. The Liberal Democrats are expected to follow suit by the end of the year.
Conservative Andrew Jones has won four successive elections in Harrogate and Knaresborough since 2010, securing 53% of the vote at the last campaign in 2019.
The next election is widely expected to take place in 2024 — and some think his biggest threat comes from opposition parties working together rather than splitting the vote. But the early signs are this is unlikely to happen.
There was little appetite for a pact at a Green Party hustings event this week. Paul Ko Ferrigno, the only candidate standing for leadership, insisted he was fighting to win, and even if he didn’t he was more interested in shaping the debate than doing deals.
Asked if he was willing to risk letting the Tories in with this approach, Mr Ko Ferrigno said:
“Yes — but if what I’ve done is shift the conversation so the next time round the Tories are being more green in their approach, more forward in their approach, because of the way we have been campaigning, then that’s OK.”
The Greens still harbour ill feeling from the last election, when their candidate, Shan Oakes, stood down.

Green Party members at this week’s hustings.
Arnold Warneken, who represents Ouseburn for the Greens on North Yorkshire County Council, told this week’s meeting:
“We had a national agreement with Lib Dems. Shan agreed to stand aside. The problem with that is you have to trust the people you deal with.
“The trust for us has disappeared. That’s not good for a future progressive alliance.”
Cllr Warneken added, however, that a final decision on pacts would be taken locally.
Labour and Lib Dems
The Stray Ferret asked Chris Watt, vice-chair, Harrogate & Knaresborough Labour Party, which took 11% of the vote in 2019, if it would consider an opposition pact. He replied:
“Being a much larger party, Labour operates a national system with local parties making the final decision on their candidate.”
Mr Watt added Harrogate and Knaresborough Labour “have asked to move forward with selecting a candidate as soon as possible”.
Read more:
- Green Party chooses man to fight Andrew Jones in Harrogate and Knaresborough
- Andrew Jones MP hits back over sewage vote
The process to select a Liberal Democrat candidate is being re-run after the national Lib Dems upgraded Harrogate and Knaresborough to a target seat.
“I’m hoping to have the procedures completed Christmas time.”
The Harrogate and Knaresborough Liberal Democrats are to restart their process to choose a prospective parliamentary candidate.
The party had begun moves to find someone to oppose Conservative Andrew Jones at the next general election.
But the process will be re-run after the national Lib Dems upgraded Harrogate and Knaresborough to a target seat.
Local members participated in a first selection in June and July. But a recent email to party members, seen by the Stray Ferret, said:
“Before the results of our PPC selection had been announced, we were notified that Harrogate and Knaresborough has been recognised as a target seat.
“This is great news and something that the local party executive have been working towards. However, this has implications for the selection of a PPC.”

Conservative Andrew Jones has represented Harrogate and Knaresborough since 2010.
Read more:
- Sir Ed Davey: Lib Dems will target Harrogate and Knaresborough as key seat
- Andrew Jones MP defends government response to energy crisis
The letter goes on to say that every PPC in a target seat “must be selected through a more robust selection process” and therefore the current selection process had been “curtailed”.
The email adds further information will be sent in “due course”.
David Goode, chair of the Harrogate and Knaresborough Lib Dems, said
“We have been recognised as a target seat and this is fantastic news. This is the result of months of work by our local campaigners and councillors.
“The local party started the process of selecting a parliamentary candidate earlier this summer. News of their target seat status means the process will now begin again.
“We will have to kick start a new selection process, in line with party rules. This is just something we must do but it will not detract from our campaign. ”
Local election success
At the local elections in May, the party won eight of the 13 North Yorkshire County Council seats in Harrogate and Knaresborough. It won 11,907 votes compared to the Conservatives’ 11,103.
However, the Tories won 47 of the 90 seats across the county to retain control.

Jubilant Liberal Democrats in Harrogate and Knaresborough celebrate the local election results.
At the last general election in 2019, the Lib Dems increased their share of the vote in the constituency by 12 percentage points and reduced Conservative Andrew Jones’s majority to 9,675 votes. But Mr Jones has held the seat since 2012.
Lib Dems on course to take Harrogate and Knaresborough, says YouGov
The Liberal Democrats would win Harrogate and Knaresborough if a general election was held tomorrow, according to polling firm YouGov.
The company has published modelling based on 64 ‘blue wall’ Conservative-Liberal Democrat battleground seats.
The seats were chosen because they were won by the Conservatives at the 2019 general election but the Liberal Democrats received above 20% of the vote.
YouGov predicts the Conservatives would retain 38 seats, the Liberal Democrats would win 24 and Labour would win two.
Among those forecast to fall is Andrew Jones’ seat, which he won with a majority of 9,675 in 2019, relegating the Liberal Democrats to second.
YouGov predicts the Liberal Democrats would get 43% of the vote in Harrogate and Knaresborough, compared with 39% for the Conservatives and 9% for Labour.
It comes days after Liberal Democrat leader Sir Ed Davey pledged to make Harrogate and Knaresborough a target seat during a visit to Harrogate.
The polling says the Conservatives would also lose seats belonging to deputy prime minister Dominic Raab and former leadership contender Jeremy Hunt to the Liberal Democrats.
The company said in a statement:
“Although constituencies would fall to the Liberal Democrats all across the country, including Harrogate and Knaresborough in the north and South Cambridgeshire in the east, perhaps the most striking losses come in the south west, where we estimate that the Conservative vote share is down by over 16 points on 2019.
“Many more Conservative seats are close to being flipped: no fewer than 11 of the 38 predicted holds would be retained by a margin of less than five points. “
Read more:
- Andrew Jones MP writes to Priti Patel about ‘law-breaking’ Travellers
- Sir Ed Davey: Lib Dems will target Harrogate and Knaresborough as key seat
The only Con-Lib Dem battlegrounds region where Labour have increased their vote share on 2019 is in London, where they are up by three points.
In all other regions their vote share in these battleground seats is down – despite Labour’s vote intention being around six to nine points higher than the 32% they managed at the last election.